EPISODE TIMELINE
00:00 Intro
00:35 Breaking down Christian Barmore news
04:50 Reacting to Mike Vrabel’s comments
07:00 Reacting to the NFL’s statement
08:48 Garrett Bradbury wins Media Good Guy Award
15:05 Player perspective on Stefon Diggs situation
20:52 How should the Patriots approach Sunday’s game
30:13 What makes Mike Vrabel a great coach
32:05 Who would you most and least want to see in the first round of the playoffs?
38:15 PrizePicks
39:36 Patriots-Dolphins preview
56:45 Thanks, David!
59:58 4-Minute Drill

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They dive into what the Patriots must improve before the end of the season, the team’s chances of winning a Super Bowl, and why David doesn’t want Drake Maye to win NFL MVP.

EPISODE TIMELINE
00:00 Intro
00:57 David on how the Patriots were able to turn things around
10:03 How does Josh McDaniels make life easier on his players?
22:59 PrizePicks!
24:10 What’s been most impressive about Will Campbell?
29:30 Omaha Steaks
30:25 What’s holding the Patriots back in the run game?
38:13 David on whether Drake Maye is the NFL MVP and why he doesn’t want Maye to win it
42:00 Where are the Patriots at in the AFC? Can they challenge whoever comes out of the NFC?
50:31 What do the Patriots need to improve on down the stretch?
1:02:19 Thanks for watching!

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0:00 – Welcome in Guest
3:01 – Thoughts on viral Stefon Diggs Yacht video
6:05 – Stefon Diggs present at OTAs
13:01 – David Andrews Retires from NFL
21:32 – Prizepicks
23:11 – Who had best day at Patriots OTA practice?
23:22 – Efton Chism
28:04 – Who are 6 Patriots WRs if season started today?
35:06 – Takeaways from OTAs
36:58 – Anfernee Jennings
39:03 – Drake Maye’s performance at OTAs
45:32 – Joshua Dobbs
46:31 – Studs & Duds
47:30 – Running backs performance
48:14 – WRs performance
49:02 – OL performance
49:19 – Jaheim Bell
49:58 – Left Guard Battle
53:20 – Takeaways on OL
56:31 – Defensive Players Performance at OTAs
1:00:22 – Safety Group Thoughts
1:06:14 – Takeaways on Coaching Staff so far
1:11:41 – Most Interesting Offensive & Defensive Player so far
1:12:18 – Efton Chism
1:12:41 – Joshua Farmer
1:13:20 – Craig Woodson
1:13:54 – Efton Chism
1:15:13 – Please consider donating to Doug’s campaign to fight cancer here: https://pages.lls.org/voy/ma/ma25/acallahan
1:17:40 – Wrapping up

The post Diggs returns but Chism Shines | Pats Interference appeared first on CLNS Media.

The Patriots received some tough injury news on Wednesday morning ahead of their Week 5 contest versus the Miami Dolphins.

According to MassLive’s Mark Daniels, center David Andrews needs surgery to repair his injured shoulder. Daniels added, “If he has surgery [now], his season will be over. Andrews is trying to see if he can play through the injury. That decision comes down to if it’ll hurt his ability to play next season.”

David Andrews will need surgery for his shoulder, per source. If he has surgery, his season will be over.

At the moment, Andrews is trying to see if he can play through the injury. That decision comes down to if it'll hurt his ability to play next season.

— Mark Daniels (@ByMarkDaniels) October 2, 2024

The Boston Herald’s Andrew Callahan and Doug Kyed are reporting that Andrews is “not expected to make an imminent decision” on whether to undergo surgery or try to play through his injury, adding that he is unlikely to play on Sunday.

New England’s captain left Sunday’s game against the 49ers following their first drive with said injury, went to the locker room, and did not return. He was replaced by backup center Nick Leverett.

“It’s frustrating being hurt,” Andrews said Tuesday on his ‘Quick Snap’ podcast with Brian Hoyer. “As a player, sometimes you have to make decisions if you being out there is the best thing for the team, and if you can perform… There is some stuff I have to try to figure out here, and see what I can do to be the best player I can be on Sunday.”

He continued: “Just trying to take it day by day right now and get some things weighed out, and I’m going to try to get better as quick as I can, and see where things go. Or what has to go. I’m just trying to figure all that stuff out. It’s super frustrating, man.”

Andrews’ decision on when he ultimately has surgery could loom large not only for him, but for the rest of the Patriots’ offense. Coordinator Alex Van Pelt’s system relies heavily on the center for line calls and protection setting – taking some stress off of the quarterback. Turning to a backup in Leverett, who has seldom experience at the position, could potentially impact when (if at all) New England turns to Drake Maye this season.

The Patriots host the Dolphins this coming Sunday at 1 p.m. from Foxborough’s Gillette Stadium.

Follow Mike on Twitter @mikekadlick for the latest up-to-date Patriots and Boston sports news!

The post Patriots center David Andrews reportedly needs shoulder surgery appeared first on CLNS Media.

While New England and San Francisco have the same record, the former is a clear underdog against head coach Kyle Shanahan’s perennial Super Bowl contender.

“I would say with San Fran, you look at it all three phases,” Jerod Mayo told reporters on Monday. “Look, obviously, their record’s not really reflective of the team that they are and can be going forward. They’re dealing with injuries as well. … They have a lot of good players on that team, offensively and defensively, All-Pro-caliber players almost at every level if you really look at the roster. So, it’s definitely a challenge.”

Both squads will be without key players on both sides. Reigning Offensive Player of the Year Christian McCaffrey (calf/Achilles) is on injured reserve, as is Patriots linebacker and captain Ja’Whaun Bentley. Pro Bowler Javon Hargrave (triceps) has already been ruled out, while stars Deebo Samuel (calf) and George Kittle (hamstring) have been limited when at practice. New England could also be without its starting left tackle, with Vederian Lowe (knee) not participating this week.

Even without their well-known names banged up, the 49ers have found ways to push the ball downfield as one of the league’s most aggressive passing attacks. Most would assume young stud Christian Gonzalez will shadow Brandon Aiyuk, but the stud wide receiver has been quiet after holding in this summer. Instead, Jauan Jennings has stepped up as Brock Purdy’s go-to target.

Statistically, Jauan Jennings has been the best downfield receiver in the NFL through three weeks https://t.co/qQl0akPUHT pic.twitter.com/o4pnBzmpeb

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 26, 2024

The 49ers could be New England’s toughest test this season, but there are a few paths to an upset for the ragtag squad to bounce back from their embarrassing defeat to the Jets.

Here are my keys for the Patriots to shock in Levi’s Stadium.

All stats courtesy of PFF unless stated otherwise.

ESTABLISH THE RUN

Offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt has been heavily criticized since his group’s three-point performance last week. Most of that heat stems from the play-caller dialing up play-action before making New York respect the run.

The #Patriots called one outside zone run to three such fakes, most of which involved Hunter Henry as a FB

– Quick throw for no gain due to McDonald pressure
– Minimal gain on only carry
– Brissett miss to Hooper on
– McDonald sack where Solomon Thomas was also unblocked https://t.co/ktSYL9GqbE pic.twitter.com/GcszbBFIrm

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 20, 2024

The Patriots falling behind 14-0 by their third possession didn’t help. The run game also failed to make an impact in limited opportunities. Still, Van Pelt acknowledged he would’ve called the game differently based on how things played out.

“We thought that we earned the right to be able to push the ball downfield,” he told reporters on Friday. “We’re trying to find more explosives in our pass game, and that comes through the run and the run action. That was the thought process going in. Again, in hindsight, I’d probably run it a little bit more early.”

Growing pains are expected for any first-time play-caller, and New England’s downfield attack has been virtually nonexistent this season. But as the coaching staff has preached, it’s all about improving week-to-week.

This Sunday, running effectively will be a must against a 49ers defense with elite players at every level. Van Pelt called edge rusher Joey Bosa a “nightmare” on Thursday, while Mayo called linebacker Fred Warner “one of the best in the league.” Charvarius Ward is also a premier corner and playmaker.

With Demontrey Jacobs manning the left tackle spot and Sidy Sow (ankle) playing for the first time in weeks, the Patriots’ margin for error will be slim. That will be especially true if Jacoby Brissett fails to capitalize on opportunities for chunk plays. Fortunately for the offense, they have a key advantage in this matchup.

Only the Rams and Bills have called more duo runs than the Patriots this season. Rhamondre Stevenson has thrived on this concept, especially when running behind or outside of Mike Onewenu, Layden Robinson, and David Andrews.

Conversely, San Francisco’s run defense ranks 6th-worst in EPA per play (consistency) and 7th-worst in positive EPA rate allowed. And most of those struggles have come against, you guessed it, duo.

Few defenses have struggled against duo as much as the 49ers through three weeks

Opponents have bounced and run off tackle against them consistently, and all three have incorporated jet motion to influence SF's second-level pic.twitter.com/t3RWURo8e6

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 25, 2024

The 49ers’ one saving grace has been strong tackling, as they’ve missed just 9% of attempts against the run. That will be tested against Stevenson, who Mayo called a top-five tackle-breaker in the NFL. The bell cow’s stats back that up, as he ranks 3rd in the NFL in missed tackles forced on runs.

For New England to move the ball, they must commit to their run game while mixing in complimentary throws to keep the defense on its toes. DeMario Douglas should also be a focal point for a second week during what Van Pelt called a “get it out of your hand quick” week. The offensive coordinator did a great job building on looks and motions from previous weeks against the Jets. However, tying them together more effectively will be a major key in San Francisco.

KEEP BROCK PURDY IN THE POCKET

The Patriots’ pass defense has struggled since limiting Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase in Week 1.

Some of these issues have been isolated incidents, like coverage busts against Geno Smith’s Seahawks and poor tackling against Aaron Rodgers’ Jets. But one specific problem has plagued New England since their win in Cincinnati.

Despite playing three pocket passers, the Patriots have been one of the worst teams at defending scrambles. The defense’s seven conversions allowed on such dropbacks are three more than the next closest teams. They’ve also allowed an NFL-high nine scramble completions on 10 targets faced, including a league-high four of 15+ yards.

These lapses have bailed quarterbacks out against tight coverage and kept drives alive in key moments.

The #Patriots inability to contain QBs has ranged from a nagging headache to a game-changing liability

There's blame to go around, but White and Uche have seemingly been repeat offenders

Schemes and twists are also putting IDL, especially Ekuale, in some tough spots pic.twitter.com/FphaoDyh40

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 24, 2024

“I think it’s a combination of [scheme and discipline issues],” Mayo told reporters on Monday. “As a whole, we have to do a better job keeping the quarterback in the pocket. That was one of the last reminders, even with [Aaron] Rodgers, was ‘let’s keep this guy in the pocket.’ He had free roam too many times. We’ll get that corrected.”

New England faces Brock Purdy this weekend, another pocket passer with scrambling ability. 2022’s Mr. Irrelevant continues to thrive in Shanahan’s scheme, with only Derek Carr (89.1) having a higher passing grade (86.4). This is especially impressive given his aggressiveness this season, with his 9.9-yard average depth of target ranking 3rd in the NFL.

Purdy’s ability to quickly scan the defense, find the open receiver, and manipulate coverage when necessary make him extremely tough to defend. He’s also deadly accurate and fearless when attacking tight windows.

Another example of Brock Purdy manipulating a cerebral, veteran player

Sees Harrison Smith about to drop under Jauan Jennings' crosser after a subtle shoulder fake, so he looks right until the last second before threading it to his receiver with three defenders in the area https://t.co/wyzjI7rFc6 pic.twitter.com/6bHvp4P1cb

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 25, 2024

Purdy is tough enough to defend from the pocket, but he also ranks 4th among quarterbacks with seven scramble conversions. Last week against the Rams, these led to a Red Zone touchdown throw, a run to get San Francisco past midfield before halftime, and another run on third down late in the third quarter.

If the Patriots can contain Purdy, they should be in solid shape. They rank or are tied for 10th in defensive success rate (55.6%), yards per target allowed (9.6), and forced incompletions (6) on downfield throws (10+ air yards).

Purdy pushing the ball has also contributed to the league’s 2nd-slowest average time to throw (3.81 seconds). This should give Joshua Uche (22.5% pass rush win rate, 7th among defenders with 25+ pass rushes) and Keion White (21.7%, 10th) time to apply pressure against San Francisco’s front, which has allowed the ninth-highest pressure rate this season (35.0%). Getting the 49ers in obvious pass situations will be key, as it will open the door for mismatches like Uche against right tackle Colton McKivitz and White against center Jake Brendel.

If contain players do their jobs, coaches avoid pressures that create escape lanes, and the rush heats up Purdy before routes can develop, New England should have a decent shot at a second road upset.

MINIMIZE YARDS AFTER CATCH/CONTACT

Entering Week 3, the Patriots (8%) were one of three defenses to miss fewer than 10% of tackle attempts. That number spiked to 13% in MetLife Stadium, with players combining for as many whiffs as the previous two weeks combined (11).

These missed tackles led to a touchdown, a pair of third-down conversions, and multiple explosive plays.

Can't remember the last time a #Patriots defense shot itself in the foot like it did last night

Multiple missed tackles led to conversions and/or chunks of extra yards, Tavai and Uche were each flagged for unnecessary penalties, and NE missed out on three run stuffs pic.twitter.com/30k9iLwMFl

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 20, 2024

“Going back to what caused us the biggest issue was, in my opinion, defensively, tackling,” Mayo told said the Friday after the game. “We couldn’t tackle, we didn’t tackle, and we really haven’t had that problem up until this point. So we have to get that corrected.”

Losing Ja’Whaun Bentley (pec) and playing on a short week were undeniable factors. Jahlani Tavai had three uncharacteristic misses, and Bentley replacement Raekwon McMillan had two. Even the ever-reliable Jonathan Jones had a blemish while

But with extra time to improve their fundamentals, the Patriots will have no excuses in Levi’s Stadium.

The good news: San Francisco (3.1) is the only offense with fewer than 3.5 yards after catch per reception. They’re also bottom-five in missed tackles forced (6) ahead of the Saints (1), Vikings (2), and Patriots (5).

That may seem jarring, given that the 49ers are an elite YAC team annually, but they’ve also been shorthanded with McCaffrey on the ice, and Samuel and Kittle battling injuries. Those are arguably the most dangerous ball-carriers at their respective positions, so Samuel or Kittle missing Sunday’s game would be a huge break for New England.

The bad news: no rusher has broken more tackles than breakout player Jordan Mason.

The 49ers line deserves credit for opening some sizable lanes, but Mason has maximized them. He boasts impressive vision, change of direction, and burst. He compliments those with good contact balance and a violent running style.

The Patriots aren’t exactly slouches, as they rank 10th in EPA per play allowed and 5th in explosive runs allowed (four). Still, Shanahan’s motion-heavy scheme presents unique challenges, especially for an out-of-conference opponent.

It will be a battle of wills in the trenches, and each unit will surely make its share of plays. For the Patriots to stand a chance and potentially even make San Francisco one-dimensional, they can’t exacerbate things by letting Mason tear through their defense.

The post Scouting Report: Keys to the Patriots Shocking the 49ers appeared first on CLNS Media.

We Dey. pic.twitter.com/rSabZeQeSc

— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 9, 2024

Head coach Jerod Mayo emphasized the importance of controlling the line of scrimmage this week, and New England did so on both sides of the ball. Offensively, that meant draining the clock to keep Cincinnati’s offense sidelined and its defense tired.

In his first game as a primary play-caller, offensive coordinator Alex Van Pelt showed the discipline to keep things simple and trust his rushing attack. The offense didn’t hide its intentions either, as rookie Caedan Wallace was used as an eligible lineman on nearly half of the team’s designed carries. Of Wallace’s 18 total snaps, just one was a pass, and he was often joined by Austin Hooper and/or Hunter Henry

It wasn’t a perfect plan, but Rhamondre Stevenson and company stung drives together when they needed them counted most.

Three of the Patriots’ four scoring drives lasted at least 12 plays. These included a 14-play touchdown drive and a 12-play series to end the 1st half. They also iced the game using the same run four times in a row despite the Bengals selling out to stop them.

Rhamondre Stevenson and the #Patriots offense playing bully ball pic.twitter.com/8dt0uf4qnc

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 8, 2024

“There comes a point in time where they know we’re going to run it,” Mayo said after the game. “We know we’re going to run it, and all the fans know that we’re going to run it, and we’re going to have to pick up four yards. That’s the challenge that I always offer to those guys. It’s really man-on-man in those instances. It has nothing to do really with X’s and O’s. It’s about dominating the player across from me. And those guys did that.”

This throwback style won’t be enough every week, but the team needed it to upset a talented Cincinnati squad in a hostile environment.

Here’s how New England shocked the world and bullied the Bengals on their home turf.

All advanced stats courtesy of PFF.

Rhamondre Stevenson

When Stevenson signed a four-year, $36 million extension this summer, many questioned the move. In an era so dependent on passing, why spend big money on a running back?

Mayo and Van Pelt haven’t been shy about wanting to be a run-first team, and the head coach challenged Stevenson to carry that load this spring.

“He was just telling me we’re going to run the ball,” Stevenson explained. “We got to be a force in the run game. And he believes in me. And, you know, just get the ball downhill, get first downs, and keep our offense on the field.”

Stevenson rewarded that faith by (literally) carrying the offense to a win on Sunday.  He ran for 120 yards while matching or setting career highs with 25 carries, eight conversions, and a whopping ten missed tackles forced. Stevenson also gained 98.3% of his rushing yards after contact, a testament to his quick feet, burst, and contact balance.

“One thing Eliot [Wolf] and I agreed on is that Rhamondre’s a very special back,” Mayo said. “He may not get all the publicity and things like that, but this is a guy that can run the ball, fall forward for extra yards every single play, catch the ball out of the backfield. Also a very smart football player. You want to get the ball in the hands of your best players, and I would say Rhamondre is one of them.”

Much was made of the Patriots’ new wide zone scheme this offseason, and rightfully so, given its importance in the West Coast system. Even Stevenson, familiar with the scheme from his time at Oklahoma, voiced his excitement about the change. But as Sunday’s game progressed, it became clear New England’s advantage was going downhill behind its massive line. Stevenson noticed and spoke up, and like any good play-caller, Van Pelt listened to one of his offensive leaders.

“They were rolling those guys off the ball with just duo,” Stevenson said. “I didn’t think we needed to get to the outside zone. So, yeah, I voiced my opinion on that to AVP. I think we should just, you know, run downhill. And, you know, he blessed me and just did that.”

Duo, also known as power without a puller, aims to create as many doubles as possible to create vertical displacement. If defenses commit to filling interior gaps, backs can capitalize by bouncing outside to space. This meant a defensive back having to tackle Stevenson one-on-one, which was a mismatch the back took full advantage of.

The #Patriots running duo behind Caedan Wallace and Austin Hooper/Hunter Henry, and Rhamondre Stevenson tormenting the Bengals' secondary (mostly Dax Hill)

Mondre has such a great feel for how and when to bounce these runs pic.twitter.com/RbolaMLQGz

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 9, 2024

Mayo told The Greg Hill Show that despite being tired, Stevenson didn’t want to leave the game at the end. He called the moment “the start of something special,” and the big back proved that he was right by putting the game away.

Stevenson downplayed the heavy workload, saying he had another quarter in him when taking the postgame podium. Even so, Stevenson will need more help from the passing game and wingman Antonio Gibson, who was nursing a hip injury this week. 2022 showed how dangerous putting an entire offense on one player can be, and overusing a pricey back is risky.

That said, Stevenson’s performance put the league on notice that he’s coming for a top-10 spot, and I won’t be betting against him.

Blocking

Scott Peters’ offensive line has been one of the league’s most heavily criticized units. Even with proven commodities like Mike Onwenu and David Andrews and intriguing young talents like Sidy Sow, Layden Robinson, and Caedan Wallace, New England’s front has been projected to rank near the bottom for a second straight season.

But those who watched the line closely have seen the group’s potential, particularly with the most consistent coaching they’ve had in years. Mayo has pushed back against this criticism and did so again while speaking to reporters this morning.

“I’ve been saying it for a long time– I think the whole offensive line conversation has been overblown,” Mayo said. “Every game, every preseason game, those guys have done a good job moving bodies and establishing toughness on the line of scrimmage. They did that yesterday. I’m not really too concerned with the offensive line. Those guys are going to get better every week.”

Stevenson deserves credit for getting nearly all his yards after contact, but that doesn’t mean his blockers weren’t doing their jobs. The offense struggled to block wide zone before largely abandoning it late, and the Bengals had their wins while selling out to stop Stevenson.

“They had some plans, did some things in the second half to try to stop the run game, from my perspective, some movement stuff, things like that, that made it harder to run,” David Andrews said after the game. “But hey, when they knew we were running it, and we did too, we got the upper hand.”

David Andrews mentioned movement giving the #Patriots some trouble, and that showed up on a couple of failed OZ runs

Cincy also set hard edges to force Mondre inside, where there wasn't much room when NE moved laterally, and 2nd-level defenders were an issue at times pic.twitter.com/z9l49TNvN9

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 9, 2024

Still, good things happened when the Patriots leaned on their bread and butter, and the blocking was essential to that success.

“I would say the way we were running the ball,” Mayo said when asked what gave him confidence in his offense early. “I felt pretty confident about that. From the beginning to the end, our offensive line, they did a great job, led by David Andrews and Big Mike [Onwenu]. Those guys did a great job. Having [Vederian] Lowe here, as well. It was good to get him in the game. And they were moving bodies.”

Mike Onwenu is Rhamondre Stevenson's north star in the ground game

The #Patriots TD and only + outside zone runs came behind Big Mike with assists from Layden Robinson and David Andrews

Mondre showed great vision to find cutback lanes and burst to exploit openings pic.twitter.com/TONK8Z198j

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 9, 2024

Well-blocked rep of pin-pull

– Lowe pins Sheldon Rankins
– Andrews picks up a blitzing Von Bell
– Robinson climbs to Logan Wilson
– Onwenu gets just enough of BJ Hill for Stevenson to break a tackle into the 2nd level pic.twitter.com/zqgjXm0qzO

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 9, 2024

Robinson, who carried over his strong rookie summer with another solid day, also received high praise from Mayo during a video conference call this morning.

“There was a point in time during training camp where, not only myself, but I think the other coaches, saw it that we said, ‘You know what, Layden Robinson has an opportunity to be a special player in this league,'” Mayo said. “He’s tough. He’ll move guys off the line of scrimmage. He can do it all, and his overall effort and mentality is something that we think about changing the culture. He’s definitely one of those guys that fits into that box, and he did a great job. Now, in saying that, it’s only one game. We’ll see how that continues to progress going forward.”

Wallace was also key to the ground game’s success. He was pancaking blockers and getting strong movement at the point of attack. The plan of using him as a jumbo tight end is similar to Nate Solder’s use as a rookie before Sebastian Vollmer went down.

Fellow tight-end-types Hooper and Henry aren’t the most dominant blockers, but their grit is undeniable. Both had their moments, with Hooper being a fixture on duo carries.

Practice squadder Michael Jordan was solid filling in for Sow (ankle) at left guard, though he had trouble making reach blocks in zone. A healthy Sow should raise the ground game’s ceiling even further.

“I think everyone bought into what we were trying to do, and it’s been different,” Andrews told reporters postgame. “It’s been different technique-wise for a lot of us, but I see a lot of buy-in from guys, guys trying to do it the right way, and when you have guys trying to do it that way, and not operating in their own system, it’s easy to adjust like that.”​

If Peters’ group uses their lowlights as learning moments and builds on their highlights, they’ll be a tough out for any team they line up against.

The post Film Room: How Rhamondre Stevenson and Patriots OL Bullied the Bengals appeared first on CLNS Media.

Head coach Jerod Mayo will have his first opportunity to quiet doubters after months of speculation, over-analysis, and warranted and unwarranted criticism.  As the head coach told reporters recently, this new-look team isn’t good enough to beat itself, so playing smart, tough, disciplined football to have any shot against a perennial playoff contender.

Turnovers and penalties were glaring issues last season, and they buried an already anemic offense. Players have generally protected the ball this summer, but too many flags have been thrown. The pre-snap process also needs to be cleaner than we saw at times in training camp and preseason. Between injuries in the trenches and inexperience at receiver, the group’s margin for error is thin against an aggressive and experienced Bengals defense. That’s especially true with Drake Maye on ice for the foreseeable future, though starter and captain Jacoby Brissett could surprise.

The Patriots’ defense rarely gets the credit it deserves, and this year is no exception. The pass rush is a concern after finishing towards the bottom of the league last season, particularly without Matthew Judon or Christian Barmore. This defense has talent, experience, and depth at every level, and most players have at least two seasons in the system. Keeping a lid on Cincinnati’s high-powered offense is a tall task, especially for a first-time NFL play-caller like DeMarcus Covington. Still, few units are better equipped than New England.

Special teams coordinator Jeremy Springer looks to breathe life into what’s been a mediocre-at-best unit. Brenden Schooler, Bryce Baringer, Christian Elliss, and first-time captain Joe Cardona are bright spots, and Marcellas Dial had a great summer in the game’s third phase. Joey Slye also decisively won the kicker competition with a solid summer. A complementary effort should help keep things steady, but an impact play or two could swing momentum in the Patriots’ favor.

With all that said, here are my three keys for New England getting an upset win in a hostile environment to start the season.

DON’T LET “THE BIG THREE” TAKE OVER

Mayo called Sunday’s season opener a “high-awareness game,” meaning every player must know the situation on every play. This includes the down and distance, the score, and the location of “The Big Three,” Mayo’s nickname for Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins.

Burrow hasn’t played a meaningful snap since injuring his wrist in November, but he and Higgins, this offseason’s only tag recipient without a new deal, are coming off strong summers.

While Chase returned to action Wednesday after a camp-long hold-in, he’s been limited and won’t play if he doesn’t get paid. Still, Burrow hinted the two have put in work behind the scenes, and the Patriots aren’t taking any chances.

“I’ve told our guys we’re going to prepare like he’s playing,” Mayo told reporters. “I think you have to prepare that way. If he doesn’t play, we’ll treat it like an injury. He’s a premiere player in this league without a doubt, and we have to be ready for him.”

When these teams met in 2022, New England used a bend-but-don’t-break philosophy to hide its undersized corners. This meant minimal blitzing, single-high shells, or man coverage.

Despite having a huge size disadvantage at CB, the #Patriots lost by 4 and gave up 3 explosive passes vs the Bengals in 2022

Two of those passes came with Marcus Jones, now a slot CB, vs Tee Higgins go balls playing off outside

The other came on a seam to Trenton Irwin vs C2 pic.twitter.com/r1cIhtFzpA

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 3, 2024

The plan was largely successful, as the Patriots came a late Red Zone fumble away from a potential upset. Burrow threw three touchdowns but was also intercepted twice and had just three explosive completions (20+ yards). But the plan wasn’t foolproof, and that conservative approach led to some easy chunk plays and third-down conversions.

Jerod Mayo said the #Patriots defense struggled on 3rd downs and 2nd & long situations vs the Bengals in 2022

Joe Burrow attacked NE's off and split-field coverages with quick throws over the middle + out routes to the boundary

Burrow also converted on a scramble and QB sneak pic.twitter.com/XK9U5iRvnd

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 4, 2024

Thanks to Christian Gonzalez, New England has someone who can challenge Cincy’s receivers in this matchup. The corner didn’t meet external expectations in camp, but he also struggled last summer before earning Defensive Rookie of the Month for September. Gonzalez has the athleticism, poise, and ball skills to hang with anyone, and Mayo said he has the tools to be a “premier corner in this league.”

Chase and Higgins are big, fast, physical, and can line up anywhere on the field, so there’s no clear-cut indication of how Gonzalez will be deployed. The defense’s most likely options are having him:

1. Shadow Higgins, with extra attention dedicated to Chase
2. Shadow Chase, with extra attention dedicated to Higgins
3. Stick to the boundary and handle ISO matchups (the defense’s strategy in last season’s opener)

Shadowing at least one of the receivers seems like the smart way to go. I’d love to see Gonzalez tested against a top-tier player like Chase, but taking Burrow’s favorite target out schematically makes the most sense. Defensive coordinator DeMarcus Covington praised Burrow’s ability to find the open man, so he’ll bypass a bad look in most situations. Higgins is a tough assignment in his own right, but he’s undeniably the Robin to Chase’s Batman. If Gonzalez can limit Higgins, it could force Burrow towards his complementary pieces.

It will also be interesting to see who plays alongside Gonzalez. Jonathan and Marcus Jones should start as two of the team’s stickiest cover guys. Still, mixing in Marco Wilson, Alex Austin, and even Isaiah Bolden could help even things up against a gargantuan Bengals receiver corps.

Another way to keep the ball out of Chase and Higgins’ hands is to get to Burrow, but personnel options could be limited for the Patriots’ front.

Edge depth is a concern, as Joshua Uche (foot) and Oshane Ximines (ankle) have been limited at best since the final week of camp. Defensive tackles Daniel Ekuale and Jeremiah Pharms bring juice as pass rushers, but neither keeps coordinators up at night.

The pass rush’s best hope may be hybrid defenders Keion White and Deatrich Wise. White wreaked havoc on opposing pockets this preseason. He’s admitted he’s more comfortable inside but has worked diligently to improve on the edge.

Great push and finish from Keion White

He's been disruptive as an interior rusher pic.twitter.com/1BSaO8u8wl

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) August 26, 2024

Wise made the most of his limited preseason reps, notching two sacks on 12 pass rushes. Both came off the edge, but Wise was also a handful for the Bengals’ interior in 2022, which included two of last season’s worst pass-blocking guards, Alex Cappa and Cordell Volson.

Deatrich Wise was straight bullying the Bengals' IOL pic.twitter.com/bPtLgPugZa

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) December 26, 2022

New England can also manufacture pressure schematically. This could include Cover 0 looks to force quick throws, simulated pressures (shows blitz) or creeper pressures (doesn’t show blitz) to confuse protection by sending unconventional rushers, and line games to test chemistry and awareness.

If New England holds Burrow’s dynamic duo under 100 yards each, forces other skill players to win in critical moments, and generates timely pressure, it will remind the league why their defense shouldn’t be taken lightly.

CONTROL THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE

When Mayo was asked how his team could beat the Bengals, he first mentioned controlling the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. That shouldn’t be a problem for the defense, which boasts excellent run defenders in Davon Godchaux, Anfernee Jennings, and Jahlani Tavai and solid pass rushers in White and Wise. Things look bleaker for New England on offense.

Left tackle Vederian Lowe (abdomen) and left guard Sidy Sow (ankle) are doubtful after suffering late-summer injuries. Lowe is a less-than-ideal starter, and Sow’s inconsistency had him competing with rookie Layden Robinson toward the end of training camp. But both made significant strides under Scott Peters and his strike system, which has unlocked their powerful punches and Lowe’s rare arm length. They were also part of a group that allowed just four knockdowns this preseason, though Lowe missed the finale, so replacing them will be tricky.

By my tracking (and I am in end-of-preseason form), the #Patriots OL allowed four knockdowns of Jacoby Brissett and Drake Maye this preseason

Things have been ugly. I cannot emphasize that enough, But they aren't a minefield! Lots of correctable mistakes pic.twitter.com/OYPOblWVCh

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) August 27, 2024

The Patriots’ blindside replacement will likely be Chukwuma Okorafor, the top right tackle before Lowe went down. Okorafor has looked solid on the right side, but his pressure rate allowed more than doubled when playing on the left (11.5%) in a limited preseason sample size. In practice this week, the team has used a combination of Nick Leverett and practice squadder Michael Jordan at guard. Leverett is a smart and athletic interior backup, but he was pushed backward too often this preseason. He and Jordan also lack experience next to Okorafor. Robinson will also start at right guard after a strong preseason, though he derailed multiple plays in Washington after being put on skates due to high pads.

These issues could spell trouble against a talented Bengals front headlined by Trey Hendrickson, one of the league’s most productive edge rushers.

“All those guys up front [Trey Hendrickson, Sam Hubbard] do a good job,” Mayo said during his Wednesday presser. “Trey [Hendrickson] has everything you want in a defensive end. He has a great motor and great technique. Over the last few years, he’s put up big numbers. He’s definitely a target for us [to watch out for].”

Quick throws, chips, and extra blockers could slow Hendrickson down, but the best way to mitigate a strong pass rush is by playing complimentary football and avoiding long yardage. For the Patriots, that starts with the ground game, which Mayo expressed confidence in while speaking to reporters.

“Toughness, for me, is important. … after seeing these guys each and every day during [training] camp, the progress that’s been made in the running game with their mentality has been great. That unit is led by David Andrews, who’s one of the toughest guys I’ve ever been around.”

Andrews finished last season as one of the league’s best run-blocking centers and hasn’t lost a step. Road graders Robinson and Mike Onwenu have devastating potential on the right side, even if there are speed bumps from the rookie.

Three run blocks from Mike Onwenu and Layden Robinson that helped spring JaMycal Hasty, who's brought unique speed and wiggle to the #Patriots backfield

Nice reps from Sidy Sow, Chuks Okorafor, Nick Leverett, and Michael Jordan mixed in as well pic.twitter.com/V1QQv1cAVK

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) August 26, 2024

Antonio Gibson was limited on Thursday, but he forms a diamond one-two punch with Rhamondre Stevenson. Stevenson is primed for a breakout year in Van Pelt’s wide zone scheme, which was a staple during his time at Oklahoma. The duo’s quick feet, contract balance, and speed should give the Bengals’ second and third levels issues.

Cincy also had one of the league’s worst ground defenses last season, ranking 6th-lowest in EPA/play allowed (explosiveness) and 11th-lowest in positive EPA rate allowed (efficiency). This offseason, they swapped elite space-eater D.J. Reader with Sheldon Rankins, an exceptional penetrator but subpar run defender.

Van Pelt and Peters faced the Bengals at least twice a year while coaching in Cleveland, so they’re well-versed in handling an Anarumo defense. 2022’s Brissett-led offense beat the Bengals 32-13. In last season’s opener, the Browns shocked Cincy with a 24-3 upset win in a plan centered around attacking Hendrickson and the left side on the ground.

The Browns ripped off 10 explosive runs vs the Bengals in last season's opener

Most of those were either aimed at/cut back toward the left side, where Trey Hendrickson tends to line up pic.twitter.com/NGRCpBXKMf

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) September 5, 2024

New England lacks the firepower for a shootout, so running the ball well is crucial. Doing so will keep the playbook open and the Bengals’ offense sidelined, maximizing the Patriots’ chances of an upset.

HAVE ANSWERS FOR PRESSURE PACKAGES

Van Pelt mentioned “understanding issues” and having “answers to issues that arise” when explaining how Drake Maye could earn a starting job. That statement felt tailor-made for the Patriots’ first two games, when they’ll face two of the league’s most aggressive defensive coordinators. Anarumo isn’t exactly blitz-happy, but he’s adept at disguising where pressures are coming from, ranking 7th in simulated pressure rate last season (23.1%) and 6th in slot corner blitz rate (27.4%).

“Whether it’s the star, the nickel, the corner coming off the edge, the linebacker — they send people from everywhere, and they’re very fundamentally sound,” Mayo said. “We also have to be sound in our approach offensively. Like I said earlier, you can settle games down by running the football, and control the game that way. I think that has to be one of the things that we get done.”

This further highlights the importance of a strong ground game for New England, but the offense still needs answers when Cincy brings the heat or sends an atypical rusher. Brissett lost ground to Maye late this summer, and his inconsistency warrants some apprehension. Still, the veteran’s years of experience are undeniable advantages, and he historically excels as a processor and decision-maker. Mayo highlighted all of these attributes earlier this week.

“Going back to the spring, just being familiar with the offense has helped him [Jacoby Brissett], first and foremost,” Mayo explained. “Secondly, he makes the right decisions. I think he gives us the best chance to win games based on his experience. He’s done it. He’s played out there, and hopefully we can talk about this after the game and there was no turnovers and no interceptions.”

And while Brissett isn’t the fleetest of foot, he does have a knack for improvising when things break down. This was on display multiple times when Brissett last faced the Bengals.

Amari Cooper (bottom) shows some gamesmanship picking two defenders at once, but Jesse Bates muddies the look as Jacoby Brissett steps up, so the QB takes it in himself pic.twitter.com/XmdZ3ZqRZo

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) August 31, 2024

Bengals go Cover 0 with 2 min in the 1st half

Jacoby Brissett adjusts pre-snap, but Cincy gets a free rusher inside with the peeling edge taking away his 1st read

Brissett's throwing motion gets the rusher to jump, allowing him to reset and deliver a strike to Amari Cooper pic.twitter.com/nd6WCaEQgG

— Taylor Kyles (@tkyles39) August 31, 2024

The matchup was Brissett’s best game in Cleveland. He went 17-22 for 278 yards and a touchdown, earning a 133.7 passer rating. Outside of one ugly turnover on a forced play, he was perfect against Anarumo’s pressure schemes.

No one expects that stellar performance from Brissett on Sunday. He’s facing an experienced defense behind a patchwork line. And while the receiving corps has plenty of talent, it’s largely unproven. But if Brissett protects the ball, puts New England in the best positions to succeed, and delivers on at least half of his downfield attempts, the offense could buy some breathing room after an offseason of scrutiny.

The post Scouting Report: Keys to the Patriots Upsetting the Bengals appeared first on CLNS Media.

Welcome back to 2024’s Patriots Depth Projection.

Over the next several weeks heading into training camp, I’ll be taking a look at each of the Patriots’ 10 position groups to name trade candidates, surprise cuts, who we’re sleeping on, give a roster projection, and then grade the room as a whole. Here’s a look at the rooms we’ve looked at so far:

2024 Patriots Depth Projection: Defensive line

Next up? Offensive line:

Overview:

The Patriots offensive line is in tough shape for a third year in a row. After a season where they started 11 OL combinations in 17 games, New England had the opportunity to add the likes of big-name veteran Jonah Williams or Tyron Smith to the room. 

Instead? They went a different route — adding Nick Leverett, Michael Jordan, and Chukwuma Okorafor to the room while drafting Caedan Wallace and Layden Robinson.

These five additions to a room of Calvin Anderson, David Andrews, Jake Andrews, Vederian Lowe, Atonio Mafi, Mike Onwenu, Sidy Sow, Cole Strange, and Tyrone Wheatley Jr. don’t seem like enough. With the caveat of no pads being worn, the offensive line was the worst unit we saw during the Patriots offseason program, and in a season where quarterback development is of the utmost importance, protection is already a question mark. 

The room is rounded out by UDFA’s, Zuri Henry Charles Turner III, and free agent signee Liam Fornadell.

Who we’re sleeping on:

Atonio Mafi.

Hear me out.

Atonio Mafi, New England’s fifth-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, started five games at guard as a rookie — and struggled. According to PFF, the former UCLA Bruin allowed five sacks, committed seven penalties, and registered just a 32.3 overall grade.

So why is he a sleeper? In this context, I’m saying he’s a sleeper to make the roster.

Throughout the offseason program, the Patriots used Mafi a lot at the center, and although they just signed their current one, David Andrews, to a two-year extension, he’s 33 heading into his 9th NFL season and the finish line is closer than the start.

New England drafted three guards last year and another in 2024. Mafi’s best path to a roster spot is at center — and right now they have him on it.

Surprise cut:

Calvin Anderson.

The Patriots need all the help they can get at tackle heading into this season, as only Anderson, Okorafor, Onwenu, and Lowe have played meaningful snaps at the position before.

Despite this, New England seems content with their tackle room. They’ll play Okorafor on the left (even though he’s been mostly a right tackle in the league thus far), and either Onwenu or rookie Caedan Wallace on the right. Beyond that in the room? It’s kind of up for interpretation. Their swing tackle will likely be one of Anderson and Lowe, but Sidy Sow could also be called upon if need be.

While Lowe has the benefit of having played more snaps than Anderson last season in New England, the system is changing to Alex Van Pelt’s scheme. However if he can’t establish himself firmly as that backup option at the position, the Patriots could go with Lowe from a comfortability standpoint, and perhaps send Anderson packing.

Trade candidate:

Vederian Lowe.

Speaking of Vederian Lowe, the former Viking now Patriot had a rough 2023 season, allowing six sacks, two penalties and over 20 pressures during his 476 snaps at both tackle spots.

So how is he a trade candidate? Well, New England traded a sixth-round pick for Lowe last season despite him not playing well the prior season, so perhaps they can get manage to something back for him based on potential. If both he and Anderson have decent preseasons, they could keep one and deal another. At this stage, I’m thinking Lowe.

Roster Projection:

In: Calvin Anderson, David Andrews, Nick Leverett, Vederian Lowe, Atonio Mafi, Chukwuma Okorafor, Mike Onwenu, Layden Robinson, Sidy Sow, Caedan Wallace

Out: Liam Fornadell, Zuri Henry, Michael Jordan, Charles Turner III, Tyrone Wheatley Jr.

IR/PUP: Jake Andrews, Cole Strange

Grade:

C-.

Since I’m feeling generous today, the Patriots don’t get a D here. But don’t get it twisted, New England’s offensive line room is the worst position group they have, and should be their priority No. 1 to improve as they continue their rebuild.

We’ll be back next Monday with another edition of the Patriots Depth Projection, breaking down New England’s safety room. Keep it here at CLNSMedia.com as we count down the days until Pats camp!

Follow Mike on Twitter @mikekadlick for the latest up-to-date Patriots and Boston sports news!

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The post 2024 Patriots Depth Projection: Offensive line appeared first on CLNS Media.

De facto general manager Eliot Wolf set the bar high by declaring New England would “weaponize” what was the league’s lowest-scoring offense last season. But while the team didn’t make any splash signings, that doesn’t mean their moves lacked substance.

Key areas still need to be addressed through the draft, but the Patriots did an excellent job retaining core players while filling roster holes with experienced veterans, most of whom are under 30.

To gain a clearer perspective on the offense’s standing, I created a grading system to identify the talent level of starters and projected key role-players on that side of the ball.

Below, I’ll share my thoughts on players in each grade category and how New England can realistically add talent at premium positions.

ALL-PRO-CALIBER

None

The 2024 playoffs showed that defense can still win games in the modern NFL, but having at least one All-Pro-caliber quarterback or pass-catcher has proven to be a virtual necessity for sustained success. Outside of the Steelers, who regularly stand as an outlier thanks to Mike Tomlin, legitimate contenders like the Chiefs, 49ers, Ravens, Bills, Lions, Dolphins, Rams, and Eagles have star players in one or more of these roles.

The Patriots’ offense has lacked blue-chip talent since Tom Brady left for Tampa Bay, and that’s been reflected in their one playoff appearance since 2020. Elite players rarely reach free agency, and New England’s first-round selections typically fall outside the top 15, so the path to acquiring this level of talent hasn’t been easy.

However, the team’s inability to identify talent, find value, or develop players at key spots has been a major factor in the offense plummeting to the bottom of the league in recent seasons. New England also failed to support 15th overall pick Mac Jones sufficiently, then traded out of the 14th pick in last year’s draft to ultimately take a corner despite glaring holes at tackle and receiver.

Wolf and new head coach Jerod Mayo have a chance to rectify these failures with this year’s third-overall pick. But whether they spend it on a potential franchise quarterback or trade back for a guaranteed homerun like Joe Alt, Olu Fashanu, Brock Bowers, Rome Odunze, or Malik Nabers, the plan must be to set that player up for long-term success.

New England could also trade for proven studs like Brandon Aiyuk, Tee Higgins, or Deebo Samuel, but I wouldn’t bank on those possibilities until more smoke arises.

PRO-BOWL CALIBER

None

Calvin Ridley was the Patriots’ one realistic chance at adding a Pro-Bowl-caliber starter on offense. But with the receiver approaching 30, they were understandably hesitant to match the Titans’ four-year, $94 million offer.  Fortunately for New England, this year’s draft is loaded at wide receiver.

If the team selects a quarterback with the #3 pick, high-upside pass-catchers, such as AD Mitchell, Xavier Legette, Keon Coleman, and Ja’Tavion Sanders, will still be available in the late first to early second rounds. All of them should be able to contribute early in their careers.

New England could prioritize the trenches with their second pick, as left tackle is still a glaring need. That said, securing a day-one starter will be difficult since J.C. Latham, Amarius Mims, and Troy Fautanu will likely fly off the board in the top 20. The Patriots could trade back into the end of the first round for Tyler Guyton, whose Pro Day they attended last week, but he’s spent the vast majority of his career on the right side.

If New England plans on using the recently signed Chukwuma Okorafor as a one-year stopgap at the position, they could invest in at least one developmental prospect on day two or beyond. Kingsley Suamataia and Kiran Amegadjie are slated to be the top left tackles available in the second round. The Patriots could also gamble on offensive line coach Scott Peters turning a day-three prospect like Javon Foster into a bona fide stud by unearthing his massive potential with improved technique.

As I mentioned in the previous section, trading for a star receiver, or even tackle, is not out of the cards. But with Wolf’s insistence on building through the draft and developing talent, the draft seems like the most likely avenue for the Patriots to add star power on offense.

QUALITY STARTERS

RT Mike Onwenu

Mike Onwenu was New England’s highest-priority free agent and the best offensive lineman on the market. Wolf made his value clear by calling the versatile mauler a “cornerstone” and “core player” for the team. He backed those sentiments by bringing Onwenu back on a three-year, $57 million deal.

NFL Network‘s Ian Rapoport reported that Onwenu will remain at right tackle after lining up at every spot on the line but left tackle and center in his four-year career. While I think Owenu is a Pro-Bowl-caliber guard, a full off-season training on the edge could elevate him from good to great at the spot. Alex Van Pelt’s scheme also asks tackles to pull nearly seven times less than interior linemen, which is a better fit for the 350-pounder’s skill set.

RB Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson got off to a slow start last season. But once Sidy Sow became the offense’s primary right guard in Week 6, he regained form and re-established himself as one of the league’s best runners and toughest tackles.

Stevenson suffered a season-ending high-ankle sprain as the result of a hip-drop tackle in Week 13, but he told the Boston Globe‘s Nicole Yang that he’s feeling “great” and would’ve played in February if the Patriots had a game. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see the dual-threat push for a Pro Bowl spot in 2023 if he can stay healthy and consistent.

C David Andrews

Iron Man David Andrews is set to return after a solid 2023 in which he didn’t miss a snap. The team captain has understandably lost some quickness and mobility as he nears 32, but he’s still an exceptional run blocker who can execute any assignment. As a pass protector, Andrews’ combination of experience, intelligence, and technique keeps him competitive despite his declining physical ability. Above all, the ninth-year veteran brings unparalleled leadership as the only dynasty-era Patriot remaining on offense.

WR Kendrick Bourne

Despite the offense’s virtually nonexistent downfield passing game last season, Kendrick Bourne was trending towards a career year before tearing his ACL in Week 8. He ranked 8th in yards after catch per reception among wide receivers with at least 30 targets and 9th in missed tackles forced over that span.

Bourne’s injury could impact his explosiveness as a ball carrier in 2024, but his savvy route-running and strong hands should ensure another productive season if he stays healthy. The receiver also told the Boston Herald‘s Andrew Callaham he is ahead of schedule and should be ready to go in training camp as he pursues captaincy, Comeback Player of the Year honors, and a Super Bowl ring.

TE Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry, who was voted a team captain for the first time last season, remains a reliable chain-mover and Red Zone monster. Only Sam LaPorta finished the season with more touchdowns among tight ends. And before suffering his own season-ending knee injury in Week 15, Henry was tied for sixth at the position in 3rd/4th down catches that went for conversions.

Henry has shown incredible toughness as a Patriot, appearing in every game from 2021-2022 despite numerous injuries. But with the veteran turning 30 in December, New England needs an infusion of youth at tight end, particularly with the middle-to-late rounds of the draft full of intriguing developmental prospects like Cade Stover, Theo Johnson, Ben Sinnott, Jaheim Bell, and A.J. Barner. Henry will be an invaluable mentor to whoever is added to the room next April while being a security blanket and a serviceable run blocker on the field.

QUALITY STARTER UPSIDE (YEARS 1-3)

WR DeMario Douglas

DeMario Douglas was the only Patriots receiver defenses seemed to respect down the stretch last season, with some teams even committing extra attention to the sixth-round rookie. While this was largely a reflection of how anemic the supporting cast was around him, especially after Bourne’s injury, it was also a testament to the receiver’s electric play-making ability.

Among wide receivers with at least 50 targets last season, Douglas trailed only Deebo Samuel and Rashee Rice in yards after catch per reception, despite having a higher average depth of target than both. He also led the Patriots with four catches and 130 yards on deep passes, which is even more impressive since just six of his 12 such targets were catchable.

Douglas needs to tighten up his route-running, which was an issue throughout last season. He also suffered two concussions, which could affect how the team uses him moving forward. But as one of the Patriots’ only projected starters who brings juice to the passing game and a legitimate three-level threat, the slot receiver should remain a fixture of New England’s aerial attack.

LG Cole Strange

Cole Strange has been a lightning rod for criticism among Patriots fans since being drafted 29th overall in 2022. While it’s fair to question his draft slot, the perception of Strange doesn’t match the reality.

He got off to a notoriously slow start, which resulted in a benching in Week 9. But there were bright spots throughout the season, and he didn’t allow a single pressure in four of his final eight games.

Strange was expected to build on that solid finish in 2023, especially after adding weight to withstand the power rushers that gave him trouble as a rookie. Unfortunately, his development and chemistry with his fellow linemen came to a screeching halt after he suffered a knee injury in the first week of training camp. This kept him sidelined until Week 2, and he ultimately missed five of the first six games.

It took another month for Strange to shake off the rust, but he ranked top-10 among guards in PFF grade from Weeks 10-14 before another knee injury in Week 15 officially ended his season.

Strange has the athleticism, intelligence, and tenacity to be a winning starter on New England’s offensive line. But he may have to overcome another delayed start, and there’s no telling how his injuries will impact him long-term.

While Strange gets the benefit of the doubt due to his unfortunate circumstances and record of late-season improvement, New England could add another developmental option as insurance. Atonio Mafi could fill that role, but the converted nose tackle would need to take a big leap in development after struggling mightily when called into action as a rookie.

RG Sidy Sow

Sidy Sow spent his entire rookie summer as a square peg in a round hole. Despite looking more like a guard, he spent the entire offseason at right tackle. Sow finally kicked inside during the regular season, but he was thrown to the wolves in Week 1 against a loaded Eagles front and didn’t see the field again until Week 6.

This time off may have been a blessing in disguise, as Sow’s return against the Raiders helped solidify an offensive line that looked aimless through five weeks. There were plenty of inconsistencies, which was to be expected from a fourth-rounder who spent months out of position. Still, he formed a dominant run-blocking duo next to Onwenu and showed flashes of brilliance in pass protection.

With the right side of New England’s line now solidified and the addition of two position coaches with playing experience, Sow may finally have the stability he needs to become a reliable starter.

QUALITY ROLE-PLAYER

QB Jacoby Brissett

Jacoby Brissett returning to the team that drafted him felt like a no-brainer. The Patriots needed a veteran bridge to mentor their future face of the franchise, and few quarterbacks are more beloved and well-respected than Brissett.

The career backup also had success under Van Pelt in 2022 while holding Deshaun Watson’s spot for the Browns. From Weeks 1-12, Brissett ranked 8th in big-time throw rate while posting a respectable 12-6 touchdown-interception ratio.

When called into action last season against the Rams, Brissett nearly brought the Commanders back from a 28-7 beatdown, going 8-11 for 124 yards and two touchdowns in a nearly flawless fourth-quarter performance. He had another near-comeback against the Jets, going 10-13 for 100 yards and a touchdown after taking the reigns deep into the 3rd quarter, bringing a 20-point deficit within a field goal. If not for a hamstring injury that popped up during game prep the next week, he might’ve finished the season as the Commanders’ starter.

Brissett shouldn’t start more than a handful of games next season, barring injury or an unstable situation for the team’s rookie passer. But he is an invaluable locker-room presence and above-average spot starter who can lead a team to victory in the right situation.

RB Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson wasn’t the splash signing fans expected this offseason, but he gives the Patriots’ offense the type of dynamic chess piece it’s lacked since James White’s final season.

The college receiver-turned-running back offers a unique skill set at 6’2″, 220 lbs with 4.39 speed. In addition to filling the team’s third-down back role, Gibson can be a legitimate one-two punch with Rhamondre Stevenson, as evidenced by his 4.7 yards per carry average as a rookie and 1,000-yard sophomore rushing season. He is versatile enough to rip off chunks in the ground game, take screen passes to the house, or create mismatches while split outside the numbers. He also excels when executing the wide zone concepts Van Pelt is likely to incorporate in New England.

Gibson’s four fumbles last season may seem alarming, but one was a borderline drop where he was hit while turning upfield on a screen, and the other was a dropped pitch that he immediately recovered.

Running back was a sneaky area of need for the Patriots, and they could still bolster the position later in the draft. But Gibson provides a more explosive dual threat than the team had last season in Ezekiel Elliott, and he should be around for the foreseeable future after signing a three-year, $11.25 million deal.

OT Chukwuma Okorafor

Chukwuma “Chuks” Okorafor was the first out-of-house signing of the Mayo-Wolf era, and his signing forecasted the team’s eventual strategy in free agency. At 26 years old and with 59 games of starting experience, Okorafor established the team’s goal of adding experienced veterans under 30, with Brissett being the one outlier.

The former third-round pick fell out of favor with the Steelers after Mike Tomlin overheard him criticize then-offensive coordinator Matt Canada’s play-calling. However, reports indicate the incident wasn’t a fair reflection of Okorafor’s character. On the field, Okorafor is a solid pass protector who posted a lower pressure rate allowed than now-Cardinals tackle Jonah Williams, who seemed like a potential Patriots target before free agency began. While run blocking isn’t a consistent strength, he brings an edge and relishes opportunities to pancake defenders.

Okorafor has been a right tackle in the NFL, but he spent his final two college seasons on the left side, where the Patriots have a glaring hole and no obvious candidates to fill it. If he’s comfortable playing either side, expect Okorafor to compete for the starting job and serve as a bridge for whomever the team drafts next month.

WR K.J. Osborn

K.J. Osborn isn’t the true X receiver I expected the Patriots to sign as a veteran stopgap outside, but he’s another excellent locker-room presence with a wealth of experience.

Osborn was at his best as a fourth option in the Vikings’ offense, which features many of the same West Coast principles that Van Pelt has majored in throughout his playing and coaching career. Most of his production last season came on intermediate in-breakers, where he did a nice job snapping off routes against man coverage and making catches through contact. While I wouldn’t call the 5’11”, 203 lber an impactful blocker, he’s shown a willingness to do the dirty work and take on defensive linemen on the backside of plays.

Osborn did lead Minnesota in drops despite a rotational role, which is something to monitor, but it was an anomaly when looking at his full career.

If the Patriots don’t add a big-bodied wide receiver in free agency or early in the draft, I’d expect Osborn to serve as the offense’s primary X in an offense that leans heavily on condensed formations. But ideally, Osborn will serve as a fourth wide receiver and a Z/slot type behind Bourne, Douglas, and a young pass-catcher with more explosive ability.

BACKUP/ROTATIONAL PLAYER

TE Austin Hooper

The Patriots’ decision to sign Austin Hooper over Pharaoh Brown, who was a great run-blocker and surprisingly effective pass catcher last season, was one of their more odd free-agency moves. But between reports of New England playing hardball with lower-level players and Brown saying he felt disrespected on Instagram, it’s likely the sides couldn’t find a middle ground, and Hooper was their backup plan.

Hooper is a downgrade as a blocker and was primarily used as a checkdown option last season with the Raiders, who had several superior receiving options ahead of him. But he still moves well at 29 years old, has strong hands, and is familiar with Van Pelt’s system from their time together in 2021.

As I mentioned earlier, the Patriots could use more youth at tight end, but Hooper is a solid backup who offers a similar skill set to Hunter Henry at an affordable price.

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FOXBOROUGH — Winning on a snowy day in Foxborough against the division rival Jets seemed like a poetic potential sendoff for Bill Belichick. Instead, the Patriots were handed their 13th loss of the season in a game plagued by anemic offense on both sides of the ball.

The defeat snapped New England’s 15-game winning streak against the Jets and extended the highest loss total in Robert Kraft’s 30 years of ownership and Belichick’s 29 years as a head coach.

Afterwards, when Belichick met with reporters, the game naturally took a back seat to questions about his future.

“As far as the future goes, I’ll sit down with Robert [Kraft] as I do every year at some point at the end of the season, and we’ll talk about things as we always do,” Belichick said. “I’m sure that’ll happen. But that’s really about all I have to say about that right now, because there isn’t anything else to talk about.”

The Game

Inclement weather made it nearly impossible for either passing attack to gain or sustain positive momentum. Bailey Zappe and Trevor Siemian each threw for fewer than 90 yards, and neither team had a receiver eclipse 40 yards. 13 of the matchup’s 29 drives featured three-and-outs, and two of the Jets’ four scoring drives started on New England’s side of the field.

The only hope of consistently moving the ball was stringing together positive runs. Ezekiel Elliott put forth his usual valiant effort, averaging 4.2 yards on 13 carries, but none of his runs went further than nine yards.

The Jets had more luck, with their commitment to the ground game leading to the worst performance from New England’s run defense all season. For most of the game, star running back Breece Hall hovered around a four-yard average, consistently slipping tackles and picking up enough yards to keep drives alive. His efforts and favorable field position kept the Jets ahead for most of the game.

When the Patriots had a chance to pull ahead late in the game, a familiar foe halted them in their tracks. After going over three quarters without a turnover, Bailey Zappe threw two interceptions in a single possession, essentially icing the game.

Hall added salt to the wound by exploding for a 50-yard touchdown run and converting a two-point conversion with less than two minutes remaining. It was a fitting end to what’s been a disastrous season for the Patriots.

With the 2023 regular season reaching a merciful conclusion, here are my top takeaways from New England’s 17-3 defeat as we look ahead to the offseason.

The Patriots Secure the 3rd Overall Draft Pick

A difficult ending to the Patriots’ finale was slightly offset by the team securing the 3rd overall pick in the upcoming draft. This guarantees a shot at one of this draft’s top quarterbacks, whether they choose to move up for projected 1st pick Caleb Williams or stand pat to see who falls in their lap. Between the well-rounded Drake Maye, electric playmaker Jayden Daniels, and pocket assassin Michael Penix Jr., there are plenty of high-upside candidates for New England to choose from.

The Patriots could also wait until the 2nd round and take a generational prospect like Marvin Harrison Jr., Joe Alt, or Olu Fashanu.

Whichever route they take, a franchise in desperate need of offensive star power will be able to secure such talent.

Two Hall of Fame Patriots Tenures (Potentially) End on Sour Note

Many expect that today was Bill Belichick and Matthew Slater’s final game with the Patriots, marking a disappointing end to a difficult season for two all-time greats. Neither would confirm post-game whether this was the end, but Slater used the opportunity to express his profound gratitude.

“Let’s talk about that another day,” Slater said when asked if he would continue to play. “Today is about expressing appreciation for teammates.” Those teammates donned sweatshirts during pre-game warmups that read “The Captain” with Slater’s #18, showing reverence for the longtime leader.

When asked about the gesture, Slater said, “It meant a lot. I was blown away by it. I never wanted anything about my experience here to be about me so it made me a little uncomfortable but to see the guys do that, I’ll never be able to put into words what it meant to me.”

Deatrich Wise showered his fellow captain with praise, calling Slater “The last voice we hear after every game,” explaining “His words carry emotion, and his words carry inspiration. His words allow us to see things we can’t always see.”

Slater also spoke highly of Belichick when asked what the only head coach he’s known as a pro has meant to him, saying, “Without coach, I’m not standing up here… he took a chance on me and has taken a chance on me for 16 years… he’s the best coach that’s ever coached this game.” When asked what he saw from Belichick during a tough season, Slater told reporters, “I saw no quit in Bill Belichick this season… I certainly found out a lot about Bill Belichick this year…”

David Andrews Undecided on Future

David Andrews was an iron man for the Patriots in 2023, playing 100% of offensive snaps in his ninth NFL season. Seeing the veteran hang up his cleats after a great career wouldn’t be a surprise, but he left the door open for a potential return next season.

Andrews told reporters “I think I still got some in the tank,” before saying he would travel to Georgia and spend time with his son before making a decision.

The Patriots drafted Jake Andrews in the 4th round of last year’s draft, presumably as the elder Andrews’ future successor. But while pass protection has been an issue at times for Andrews, his leadership, communication, and experience are invaluable, and he’s still an exceptional run blocker.

His loss would leave a significant hole on the offensive line, regardless of who was called upon to fill it. But for now, we wait.

Young Defenders Offer Bright Spots

The Patriots’ league-best run defense had its toughest outing of the season against the Jets, allowing the most rushing yards for the franchise since Knowshon Moreno back in 2013. But there were several players who showed the arrow is pointing up for the group entering 2024.

Christian Barmore continued his All-Pro-caliber season, leading the team with 10 tackles, making two tackles in the backfield, and registering a quarterback hit. He should be a priority extension candidate for New England this offseason.

Fellow breakout defender Anfernee Jennings also had a strong finish to the season with a team-high three tackles for loss, seven total tackles, and a hit. Jennings is entering free agency and should be another priority for the team, as he’s emerged as a consistently disruptive force against the run.

Undrafted corner and mid-season addition Alex Austin continued to shine, breaking up a pass and providing smothering reps of man coverage throughout the game. The Patriots seemed to desperately need cornerback talent just a couple of months ago, but Austin could prove to be a surprise gem and should compete for a spot beside Christian Gonzalez and Jonathan Jones next season.

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